No War With Iran

What is starkly missing from the Iran–US war conversation is the fact that Iran has allies: Russia, China, North Korea, and Pakistan would all stand with Iran in the event of a US attack.

China imports 10% of its oil from Iran which represents 90% of Iran’s oil exports. Iran supplies Russia with drones and weapons. These countries are linked. Iran at war with the US gives these countries the opportunity to wage war against the US via a proxy state.

In addition, other countries in West Asia recognize if Iran is toppled, they are next on Israel’s list. This war would unite the region and its allies against the US.

If you haven’t heard of the Strait of Hormuz, I recommend you do some research on it. 20% of the world’s oil and 35% of the world’s liquefied natural gas pass through it daily. Approximately one-fifth to one-third of the world’s seaborne traded oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz daily.

Disruption of trade through the Strait of Hormuz by Iran would disrupt global oil supply routes, lead to economic instability due to increased oil prices, escalate geopolitical tensions and military responses, disrupt international shipping, raise energy security concerns, threaten regional stability, and prompt a global diplomatic response to address the crisis.

It would be the most cataclysmic geopolitical event in the last 75 years. China, Russia, and indeed the world have a highly vested interest in protecting this. If Iran faces an existential threat then closure of the Strait of Hormuz would be a strategic option they would consider a legitimate last resort strategy.

This incentivizes Russia and China to intervene in the war to prevent this option at all costs. It is far more dangerous than Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.

If reason prevails, this war will be prevented. If not, the risk of this nightmare scenario will become very real. If it does occur, the alliance between US opposition countries will redefine the world order. The US hegemony will collapse entirely, and there is a real chance the US would face a crisis like it’s never faced before. Indeed, an attack on Iran by the US would be the beginning of the end of the American empire itself and the end of the West’s domination on the world stage.

The collapse would cause the US dollar to lose its status as the global reserve currency. The national debt incurred by the US as a result of the borrowing required to sustain a war with Iran would result in the highest interest rates the US has ever seen. It will be impossible to repay them. Without reserve currency status and insurmountable debt, the US would lose its economic soft power. It would be unable to use sanctions to impose its will on other countries. It would be unable to sink other countries into debt by issuing extortionate loans to the poorest countries on Earth. It would be unable to send corporations to plunder these countries’ natural resources and hold them hostage via these loans.

The costs of war with Iran are far too great for the US, though it may not seem obvious to most. It would spell the end of the American empire. It would cost millions of lives, trillions in spending, and trillions in infrastructure destruction. It would last years and years. It would take decades to rebuild. It would leave the Middle East in chaos and turmoil. Iran will not be easily decapitated, and it has very powerful allies that already seek the end of the American empire.

To wit, Iran is a country that has had practically 75 years of peace to prepare for such a conflict. It has sustained existential threats from the West for these same 75 years. It has used this peace to stockpile weapons. Unlike Russia, it is not dependent on a network of global trade to manufacture its own weapons. It is capable of manufacturing everything it needs to wage war itself. US sanctions have made this possible by making it impossible for Iran to do so via global trade.

It has witnessed US brutality, war, and regime changes in Yemen, Sudan, Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, and Libya. It has witnessed the US economically impose its will on Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Jordan. It recognizes what will happen if it does not use every method at its disposal to defend itself from an attack from the US. It will not hold back.

They want you to believe Iran is a global enemy of humanity. They tell you how Iranians chant “death to Israel” and “death to America”. But is it hard to understand why? America has not declared war since WWII. Yet the US has bombed 31 countries since. This represents one-third of the world’s population.

The US has been involved in clandestine regime change in 25 countries in this period: Afghanistan, Bosnia, Cambodia, China, Congo, Cuba, El Salvador, Korea, Guatemala, Indonesia, Laos, Grenada, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Nicaragua, Pakistan, Palestine, Panama, Peru, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Vietnam, Yemen, and Yugoslavia.

It is estimated over one million Arabs died in the Global War on Terror in the most conservative estimate. The number of combatants in this figure ranges from twenty thousand to thirty thousand. Nearly all of these one million dead represent civilian deaths.

Over 10 million Arabs were displaced as a result of the Global War on Terror, leading to significant humanitarian crises and challenges for individuals and families in the affected regions.

Last week, on the eve of reaching a second nuclear nonproliferation agreement between the US and Iran, the US covertly allowed its proxy state of Israel to launch an unprovoked surprise attack on Iran. The US is complicit in this strike. The US has furnished Israel with over $300 billion dollars in military aid since Israel’s inception. The American Israeli Public Affairs Committee, a foreign government lobbying group, spent $57 million in the 2024 US elections cycle alone, according to the US FEC government agency.

Now the US tells Iran it must surrender its nuclear program in exchange for peace. In what world would Iran believe this promise? The US has no credibility on the world stage. There is no promise the US can be expected to keep.

How could one not expect Iranians to chant “death to Israel” and “death to America” under these circumstances. The world has sustained terrorist attacks globally from the US for almost a century. The US has been engaged in war 222 out of its 249 years of existence. Israel has attacked all four of its neighboring countries; it has attacked countries it does not neighbor. Israel is a country born out of violence, massacre, and expulsion. It massacred thousands of Palestinians and expelled 750,000 indigenous people in the course of its “war of independence” otherwise known by Palestinians as the nakba. Iran has not attacked a neighbor without provocation in over 200 years.

Ask yourself who is truly the greatest threat to world peace? What regime is truly responsible for the greatest feats of terror known to mankind?

Iran has never had a greater cause for Iran to develop nuclear weapons than in this moment. This attack by Israel has only demonstrated the need. If anything, Iran will work to develop nuclear weapons faster than ever before. Now under threat from the world’s most powerful military, what choice do they have?

The United States spends more on its military than the next 9 highest-spending countries combined. The United States has military bases in approximately 80 countries around the world. The total number of military bases outside its borders is estimated to be around 800. Iran itself is surrounded by US military bases.

It is irrefutable that the US, not Iran, is the enemy of humanity. It is unmistakable that a war with Iran would be the most disastrous foreign policy mistake the US has ever made. It is undeniable that Israel is a rogue terrorist state.

The US must not go to war with Iran. If it does, it will be the end of the US as we know it. Perhaps that is a good thing. But the geopolitical, economic, structural, and human toll is far too great.

It is all our duty to resist this war. Resist the propaganda that justifies it. Resist the consent the Zionist media and political establishment will attempt to manufacture.

Understand the stakes have never been higher. Iran is not our enemy. In the eyes of humanity, the enemy is Israel and the US. It is high time we as Americans understand this and work to dismantle this fascist regime from the inside, by any means available to us.